Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Week 13 - The Axe Cometh

Well Jack Del Rio is the first casualty head coach, but will he be the last during the regular season? Del Rio did an admirable job in a tough spot. He will be a Defensive Coordinator next season and eventually a head coach again. Jacksonville is a tough place to win. It's a minor league atmosphere with no tradition. And with owners Wayne Weaver selling the team, let the speculation when will they move to LA? I'm still sticking with the Chargers and/or Raiders moving to LA. I see either Jax or Minnesota moving to San Antonio, but that's for another column.

Speaking of San Diego, will NorCal Turner be the next casualty? I think San Diego should look long and hard at GM AJ Smith and is he really right for the job? The Rams job will be open too, but I think Steve Spagnola deserves another shot, but let the speculation of him returning to the Eagles as Defensive Coordinator.

The playoff picture is getting much clearer here in week 13. The AFC looks like this New England, NY Jets, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Cincinnati, Houston, Tennessee, Oakland and Denver (yes Denver). In the NFC it's Dallas, NY Giants, Atlanta, New Orleans, Green Bay, Chicago, Detroit, San Francisco.

The biggest disappointments have to be San Diego and Philadelphia. Both were thought to be Super Bowl Contenders, but some bad luck and poor play led to bad years. I feel both will bounce back and their respective coaches deserve at least another year.

Power Top 10
1. Green Bay Packers
2. New England Patriots
3. New Orleans Saints
4. Baltimore Ravens
5. San Francisco 49ers
6. Pittsburgh Steelers
7. Atlanta Falcons
8. Houston Texans
9. Chicago Bears
10. Oakland Raiders

Last week, another 3-1 week to bring my total up to 27-21.

Minnesota (-1.5) against Denver
I don't know if Tim Tebow is the real deal, but he's winning. It's not NFL pretty, but he's turning everyone into believers. Minnesota has been disappointing and will they risk playing AP? The Vikings Defense will be ready for Tebow, but until he loses, it's hard to bet against him.
Broncos 19 - Vikings 14

Atlanta (-2.5) @ Houston
The Texans have dug themselves in a hole now playing the third string QB. and who knows maybe TJ Yates will turn out to be the next Tom Brady, but until he proves it on the field, it's hard to buy them as legitimate contenders. Steady Matt Ryan is very consistent and they have a solid offense. Atlanta's Defense has to step it up if they have a chance of surprising anyone. This will be their first test in a stretch run and I see them succeeding
Falcons 24 - Texans 19

Green Bay (-6.5) @ New York Giants
The Giants are collapsing and the Packers are getting stronger. I thought the Giants would play above their talent and coaching, I'm wrong. Aaron Rodgers is playing as if he wants the Packers to forget about a certain Diva QB ever played there. Rodgers is all world and if their defense keeps it close, Rodgers will score.
Packers 38 - Giants 27

Upset Special
Pittsburgh (-6.5) against Cincinnati
The Steelers are coasting and that was evident in the KC game last week. Roethlesberger is playing with a broken finger and maybe that will effect his passing, but the Bengals are for real. Andy Dalton and AJ Green are not playing like rookies. In fact, I'm waiting for a breakout game and this is it. A stunner to muddle up the wild card picture in the AFC.
Bengals 33 - Steelers 28


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